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Germany: Majority thinks coalition government doomed

3 May 2026

Germany’s conservative-led coalition government between the mainstream centre-right and centre-left parties has received poor marks in a survey published on Sunday.

According to the survey by the INSA Institute, conducted for the Sunday tabloid Bild am Sonntag, 58% of people in Germany feel that the conservative-led government will fall apart before elections scheduled for 2029.

Just under a quarter (24%) believed it would last the course, while another 18% either did not know or did not answer.

The coalition also received bad points for its governance record up to now, with three-quarters of respondents saying they were dissatisfied with its performance as against 16% who felt the government was doing a good job.

The coalition comprises the conservative bloc of Christian Democrats (CDU) and its Bavarian sister party the Christian Social Union (CSU), together with the centre-left Social Democrats (SPD).

It took office just under a year ago, with CDU Chancellor Friedrich Merz sworn in on May 6.

AfD beats out Merz’s bloc

Another INSA survey published on Sunday has shown that the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is ahead of Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s conservative CDU/CSU bloc in popularity ratings.

Support for the AfD was 28%, while the conservative bloc sits at 24%.

The junior coalition partner in the federal government, the centre-left SPD, remained at 14%, the same level as in the previous week’s poll, while the opposition Greens rose one point to 13%.

The socialist Left Party was at 11%.

The growing popularity of the AfD in Germany comes despite the fact that several of its local chapters have been classified as right-wing extremist by local intelligence agencies.

A classification BfV domestic intelligence agency is of the entire AfD as such by Germany’s BfV domestic intelligence agency, issued last year, is currently suspended following an appeal by the party.

The BfV has pointed to allegedly racist and anti-constitutional elements in the party’s platform to justify its concerns.

DW

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