Cyclone Kyarr weakened into a category 1 storm on Wednesday but not before indirectly impacting the sultanate with heavy rainfall in South Sharqiyah and flooding low-lying areas across Muscat, North and South Batinah governorates.
While another storm has started brewing in the Arabian Sea with a depression near Maldives already formed and expected to turn into a deep depression and then a tropical storm Maha in the next few days.
According to the analysis of the Public Authority for Civil Aviation’s National Multi Hazard Early Warning Center (NMHEWC), there are no chances of Kyarr crossing the sultanate. The storm will further degrade and pass south of Oman and Yemen over the next few days before passing Socotra on Sunday as a depression.
According to NMHEWC, weather analysis indicates that Kyarr centered over west central of Arabian Sea on October 30 at longitude 62.2°E and latitude 19.6°N. ‘The estimated surface wind speed around the centre is between 64 and 82 knots.’
‘The cyclone is about 440km away from closest point along Oman’s coast (Ras Madrakah).’ It further stated that Kyarr will move westerly-southwesterly parallel to the governorates of South Sharqiyah and Al Wusta within 48 hours with gradual abatement. ‘The distance of its centre to Ras Madrakah is expected to be around 150-250km as the nearest point with no probability of crossing sultanate coasts.’
Meanwhile, the sea condition will be rough along the coasts of South Sharqiyah, Al Wusta and Dhofar with maximum wave height ranging from 6-8m. It will be moderate to rough over rest of Oman’s coasts with maximum wave height of three metres with chances of sea water inundation over low-lying coastal areas during high sea tides.
On the other storm developing in the Indian ocean, Met Oman said that the tropical depression has formed in the Southeastern Arabian Sea. ‘It is 2,500km away from the coasts of the sultanate and no impact is expected within the next five days.’
According to the Indian Meteorological Department, the depression over Maldives-Comorin areas moved northwestwards and lay centered at 1130 hrs IST on October 30, over Maldives – Comorin and adjoining Lakshadweep area near latitude 8.0°N and longitude 75.0°E, about 450km north-northeast of Male (Maldives), 200km east-southeast of Minicoy (Lakshadweep), 380km southeast of Kavaratti (Lakshadweep) and 220km west-southwest of Thiruvananthapuram (Kerala).
‘It is very likely to continue to move northwestwards across Lakshadweep Islands during the next 36 hours and then emerge into east-central Arabian Sea.
‘It is very likely to intensify into a deep depression during the next 12 hours and into a cyclonic storm during the subsequent 12 hours.’